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  • PHIL Learning Competencies Standards
  • Mathematics: Statistics and Probability

PHIL Learning Competencies - Mathematics: Statistics and Probability

Most Essential Learning Competencies | Adopted: 2022

This correlation lists the recommended Gizmos for this state's curriculum standards. Click any Gizmo title below for more information.

12.3: : Third Quarter


12.3.1: : The learner illustrates a random variable (discrete and continuous).

Screenshot of Lucky Duck (Expected Value)

Lucky Duck (Expected Value)

Pick a duck, win a prize! Help Arnie the carnie design his game so that he makes money (or at least breaks even). How many ducks of each type should there be? What are the prizes worth? How much should he charge to play? Lucky Duck is a fun way to learn about probabilities and expected value. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo

12.3.3: : The learner finds the possible values of a random variable.

Screenshot of Lucky Duck (Expected Value)

Lucky Duck (Expected Value)

Pick a duck, win a prize! Help Arnie the carnie design his game so that he makes money (or at least breaks even). How many ducks of each type should there be? What are the prizes worth? How much should he charge to play? Lucky Duck is a fun way to learn about probabilities and expected value. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo

12.3.4: : The learner illustrates a probability distribution for a discrete random variable and its properties.

Screenshot of Lucky Duck (Expected Value)

Lucky Duck (Expected Value)

Pick a duck, win a prize! Help Arnie the carnie design his game so that he makes money (or at least breaks even). How many ducks of each type should there be? What are the prizes worth? How much should he charge to play? Lucky Duck is a fun way to learn about probabilities and expected value. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo

12.3.5: : The learner computes probabilities corresponding to a given random variable.

Screenshot of Lucky Duck (Expected Value)

Lucky Duck (Expected Value)

Pick a duck, win a prize! Help Arnie the carnie design his game so that he makes money (or at least breaks even). How many ducks of each type should there be? What are the prizes worth? How much should he charge to play? Lucky Duck is a fun way to learn about probabilities and expected value. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo

12.3.6: : The learner illustrates the mean and variance of a discrete random variable.

Screenshot of Lucky Duck (Expected Value)

Lucky Duck (Expected Value)

Pick a duck, win a prize! Help Arnie the carnie design his game so that he makes money (or at least breaks even). How many ducks of each type should there be? What are the prizes worth? How much should he charge to play? Lucky Duck is a fun way to learn about probabilities and expected value. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo

12.3.7: : The learner calculates the mean and the variance of a discrete random variable.

Screenshot of Lucky Duck (Expected Value)

Lucky Duck (Expected Value)

Pick a duck, win a prize! Help Arnie the carnie design his game so that he makes money (or at least breaks even). How many ducks of each type should there be? What are the prizes worth? How much should he charge to play? Lucky Duck is a fun way to learn about probabilities and expected value. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo

12.3.8: : The learner interprets the mean and the variance of a discrete random variable.

Screenshot of Lucky Duck (Expected Value)

Lucky Duck (Expected Value)

Pick a duck, win a prize! Help Arnie the carnie design his game so that he makes money (or at least breaks even). How many ducks of each type should there be? What are the prizes worth? How much should he charge to play? Lucky Duck is a fun way to learn about probabilities and expected value. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo

12.3.9: : The learner solves problems involving mean and variance of probability distributions.

Screenshot of Lucky Duck (Expected Value)

Lucky Duck (Expected Value)

Pick a duck, win a prize! Help Arnie the carnie design his game so that he makes money (or at least breaks even). How many ducks of each type should there be? What are the prizes worth? How much should he charge to play? Lucky Duck is a fun way to learn about probabilities and expected value. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo

12.3.14: : The learner illustrates random sampling.

Screenshot of Polling: City

Polling: City

Poll residents in a large city to determine their response to a yes-or-no question. Estimate the actual percentage of yes votes in the whole city. Examine the results of many polls to help assess how reliable the results from a single poll are. See how the normal curve approximates a binomial distribution for large enough polls. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo
Screenshot of Polling: Neighborhood

Polling: Neighborhood

Conduct a phone poll of citizens in a small neighborhood to determine their response to a yes-or-no question. Use the results to estimate the sentiment of the entire population. Investigate how the error of this estimate becomes smaller as more people are polled. Compare random versus non-random sampling. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo
Screenshot of Populations and Samples

Populations and Samples

Compare sample distributions drawn from population distributions. Predict characteristics of a population distribution based on a sample distribution and examine how well a small sample represents a given population. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo

12.3.16: : The learner identifies sampling distributions of statistics (sample mean).

Screenshot of Populations and Samples

Populations and Samples

Compare sample distributions drawn from population distributions. Predict characteristics of a population distribution based on a sample distribution and examine how well a small sample represents a given population. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo

12.3.17: : The learner finds the mean and variance of the sampling distribution of the sample mean.

Screenshot of Populations and Samples

Populations and Samples

Compare sample distributions drawn from population distributions. Predict characteristics of a population distribution based on a sample distribution and examine how well a small sample represents a given population. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo

12.3.19: : The learner illustrates the Central Limit Theorem.

Screenshot of Populations and Samples

Populations and Samples

Compare sample distributions drawn from population distributions. Predict characteristics of a population distribution based on a sample distribution and examine how well a small sample represents a given population. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo

12.3.20: : The learner defines the sampling distribution of the sample mean using the Central Limit Theorem.

Screenshot of Populations and Samples

Populations and Samples

Compare sample distributions drawn from population distributions. Predict characteristics of a population distribution based on a sample distribution and examine how well a small sample represents a given population. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo

12.3.21: : The learner solves problems involving sampling distributions of the sample mean.

Screenshot of Populations and Samples

Populations and Samples

Compare sample distributions drawn from population distributions. Predict characteristics of a population distribution based on a sample distribution and examine how well a small sample represents a given population. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo

12.4: : Fourth Quarter


12.4.33: : The learner computes for the test-statistic value (population mean).

Screenshot of Populations and Samples

Populations and Samples

Compare sample distributions drawn from population distributions. Predict characteristics of a population distribution based on a sample distribution and examine how well a small sample represents a given population. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo

12.4.42: : The learner illustrates the nature of bivariate data.

Screenshot of Correlation

Correlation

Explore the relationship between the correlation coefficient of a data set and its graph. Fit a line to the data and compare the least-squares fit line. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo
Screenshot of Least-Squares Best Fit Lines

Least-Squares Best Fit Lines

Fit a line to the data in a scatter plot using your own judgment. Then compare the least squares line of best fit. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo
Screenshot of Solving Using Trend Lines

Solving Using Trend Lines

Examine the scatter plots for data related to weather at different latitudes. The Gizmo includes three different data sets, one with negative correlation, one positive, and one with no correlation. Compare the least squares best-fit line. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo
Screenshot of Trends in Scatter Plots

Trends in Scatter Plots

Examine the scatter plot for a random data set with negative or positive correlation. Vary the correlation and explore how correlation is reflected in the scatter plot and the trend line. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo

12.4.43: : The learner constructs a scatter plot.

Screenshot of Correlation

Correlation

Explore the relationship between the correlation coefficient of a data set and its graph. Fit a line to the data and compare the least-squares fit line. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo
Screenshot of Least-Squares Best Fit Lines

Least-Squares Best Fit Lines

Fit a line to the data in a scatter plot using your own judgment. Then compare the least squares line of best fit. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo
Screenshot of Solving Using Trend Lines

Solving Using Trend Lines

Examine the scatter plots for data related to weather at different latitudes. The Gizmo includes three different data sets, one with negative correlation, one positive, and one with no correlation. Compare the least squares best-fit line. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo
Screenshot of Trends in Scatter Plots

Trends in Scatter Plots

Examine the scatter plot for a random data set with negative or positive correlation. Vary the correlation and explore how correlation is reflected in the scatter plot and the trend line. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo

12.4.44: : The learner describes shape (form), trend (direction), and variation (strength) based on a scatter plot.

Screenshot of Correlation

Correlation

Explore the relationship between the correlation coefficient of a data set and its graph. Fit a line to the data and compare the least-squares fit line. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo
Screenshot of Least-Squares Best Fit Lines

Least-Squares Best Fit Lines

Fit a line to the data in a scatter plot using your own judgment. Then compare the least squares line of best fit. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo
Screenshot of Solving Using Trend Lines

Solving Using Trend Lines

Examine the scatter plots for data related to weather at different latitudes. The Gizmo includes three different data sets, one with negative correlation, one positive, and one with no correlation. Compare the least squares best-fit line. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo
Screenshot of Trends in Scatter Plots

Trends in Scatter Plots

Examine the scatter plot for a random data set with negative or positive correlation. Vary the correlation and explore how correlation is reflected in the scatter plot and the trend line. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo

12.4.46: : The learner solves problems involving correlation analysis.

Screenshot of Correlation

Correlation

Explore the relationship between the correlation coefficient of a data set and its graph. Fit a line to the data and compare the least-squares fit line. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo
Screenshot of Least-Squares Best Fit Lines

Least-Squares Best Fit Lines

Fit a line to the data in a scatter plot using your own judgment. Then compare the least squares line of best fit. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo
Screenshot of Solving Using Trend Lines

Solving Using Trend Lines

Examine the scatter plots for data related to weather at different latitudes. The Gizmo includes three different data sets, one with negative correlation, one positive, and one with no correlation. Compare the least squares best-fit line. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo
Screenshot of Trends in Scatter Plots

Trends in Scatter Plots

Examine the scatter plot for a random data set with negative or positive correlation. Vary the correlation and explore how correlation is reflected in the scatter plot and the trend line. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo

12.4.47: : The learner identifies the independent and dependent variables.

Screenshot of Correlation

Correlation

Explore the relationship between the correlation coefficient of a data set and its graph. Fit a line to the data and compare the least-squares fit line. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo
Screenshot of Least-Squares Best Fit Lines

Least-Squares Best Fit Lines

Fit a line to the data in a scatter plot using your own judgment. Then compare the least squares line of best fit. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo
Screenshot of Solving Using Trend Lines

Solving Using Trend Lines

Examine the scatter plots for data related to weather at different latitudes. The Gizmo includes three different data sets, one with negative correlation, one positive, and one with no correlation. Compare the least squares best-fit line. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo
Screenshot of Trends in Scatter Plots

Trends in Scatter Plots

Examine the scatter plot for a random data set with negative or positive correlation. Vary the correlation and explore how correlation is reflected in the scatter plot and the trend line. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo

12.4.48: : The learner calculates the slope and y-intercept of the regression line.

Screenshot of Correlation

Correlation

Explore the relationship between the correlation coefficient of a data set and its graph. Fit a line to the data and compare the least-squares fit line. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo

12.4.49: : The learner interprets the calculated slope and y-intercept of the regression line.

Screenshot of Correlation

Correlation

Explore the relationship between the correlation coefficient of a data set and its graph. Fit a line to the data and compare the least-squares fit line. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo
Screenshot of Trends in Scatter Plots

Trends in Scatter Plots

Examine the scatter plot for a random data set with negative or positive correlation. Vary the correlation and explore how correlation is reflected in the scatter plot and the trend line. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo

12.4.50: : The learner predicts the value of the dependent variable given the value of the independent variable.

Screenshot of Least-Squares Best Fit Lines

Least-Squares Best Fit Lines

Fit a line to the data in a scatter plot using your own judgment. Then compare the least squares line of best fit. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo
Screenshot of Solving Using Trend Lines

Solving Using Trend Lines

Examine the scatter plots for data related to weather at different latitudes. The Gizmo includes three different data sets, one with negative correlation, one positive, and one with no correlation. Compare the least squares best-fit line. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo
Screenshot of Trends in Scatter Plots

Trends in Scatter Plots

Examine the scatter plot for a random data set with negative or positive correlation. Vary the correlation and explore how correlation is reflected in the scatter plot and the trend line. 5 Minute Preview


Lesson Info
Launch Gizmo

Correlation last revised: 1/23/2024

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© 2025 ExploreLearning. All rights reserved. Gizmo and Gizmos are registered trademarks of ExploreLearning. STEM Cases, Handbooks and the associated Realtime Reporting System are protected by US Patent No. 10,410,534

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